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Market report - 20/03/2014 TD-LTE

Adoption and challenges around TD-LTE

The TD-LTE ecosystem is still in its early days but the commercial launch by China Mobile in December 2013 is going to boost the TD-LTE market.
Our estimates for TD-LTE subscriptions in December 2013, based on the data from our LTE Watch service, indicate fewer than 3.5 million subscriptions.
This report presents the TD-LTE deployment status in the main markets (Japan, USA, China, Australia, India), the device ecosystem and the technical aspects of the TD-LTE ecosystem.

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1. Executive summary

2. Methodology

3. Deployment status of TD-LTE
 3.1. Deployment overview
 3.2. Dual mode TDD and FDD networks
 3.3. Less than 2 million TD-LTE subscriptions at end-2013
 3.4. Case studies
 3.4.1. Australia
 3.4.2. China: the strongest contributor to the TD-LTE ecosystem
 3.4.3. India (Bharti Airtel)
 3.4.4. Japan (SoftBank)
 3.4.5. South Korea
 3.4.6. Brazil
 3.4.7. USA
 3.4.8. Saudi Arabia (Mobily)
 3.4.9. Sweden (HI3G Sweden)
 3.4.10. United Kingdom (UK Broadband)
 3.4.11. Other deployments

4. The device ecosystem
 4.1. TD-LTE basebands
 4.2. End-user devices

5. TD-LTE technical evolution closely follows that of LTE FDD

 5.1. TD-LTE: more flexibility than the FDD mode
 5.2. Carrier aggregation
 5.3. Refarming and TD-LTE
 5.4. TD-LTE and roaming
 5.5. Voice over TD-LTE (VoTD-LTE)
 5.6. TD-LTE and the 3.5 GHz band
 5.7. TD-LTE and other TDD technologies
 5.7.1. XGP and AXGP
 5.7.2. WiMAX Advanced and TD-LTE

6. Annexes
 6.1. Main TD-LTE basebands
 6.2. Main TD-LTE smartphones
 6.3. China Mobile TD-LTE terminal requirements
 6.4. Devices supporting TD-LTE in bands 42 and 43
 6.5. WiMAX operator evolution path, by region
Table 1: TD-LTE and LTE FDD ecosystems at December 2013
Table 2: Adoption of TD-LTE technology at December 2013, by country
Table 3: TDD/FDD deployments
Table 4: TD-LTE and LTE FDD ecosystems at December 2013
Table 5: TD-LTE subscription figures at December 2013
Table 6: First-phase testing sites and assignments
Table 7: Number of devices available for each TDD band, as of November 2013
Table 8: Main frequency bands for UMTS/HSPA/LTE deployment – TDD mode
Table 9: Potential use of TDD bands for LTE
Table 10: TDD bands
Table 11: TD-LTE baseband chipsets
Table 12: TD-LTE smartphones
Table 13: Devices supporting TD-LTE in bands 42 & 43 (3.5 GHz)
Table 14: WiMAX operator evolution

Figure 1: Number of TD-LTE networks launched, by frequency band
Figure 2: Combination of FDD and TDD frequencies in commercially-launched FDD-TDD networks
Figure 3: TD-LTE development
Figure 4: Potential subscribers for TD-LTE
Figure 5: Mobile spectrum in Australia
Figure 6: Optus TD-LTE (ƊG Plus') coverage for southern Australia
Figure 7: NBN Co broadband access
Figure 8: NBN Co fixed wireless infrastructure in 2016
Figure 9: NBN Co network
Figure 10: TD-LTE trials in China
Figure 11: Bharti networks footprint
Figure 12: SoftBank spectrum resources
Figure 13: SoftBank TD-LTE and LTE FDD coverage areas
Figure 14: TD-LTE cell sites operated by SoftBank
Figure 15: SoftBank TD-LTE coverage in Tokyo
Figure 16: Subscribers to SoftBank Wireless City Planning TD-LTE
Figure 17: Sprint multiband strategy
Figure 18: Access Spectrum coverage
Figure 19: Access Spectrum 700 MHz band
Figure 20: UK Broadband LTE spectrum
Figure 21: Main TD-LTE networks in Russia, as of mid-2013
Figure 22: Timeline of TD-LTE chipsets and devices
Figure 23: Distribution of the 274 TD-LTE devices as of December 2013
Figure 24: MiFi price evolution, in CNY
Figure 25: TD-LTE and LTE FDD complementarity
Figure 26: Carrier aggregation options
Figure 27: Availability and useability of spectrum in bands 42 and 43 in the world
Figure 28: Forecast global annual shipments of 3.5 GHz-compatible devices
Figure 29: Annual shipments of 3.5 GHz-compatible devices, by type, as % of total, upside case scenario
Figure 30: ASA and the 3.5 GHz band
Figure 31: The different releases of XGP
Figure 32: AXGP roadmap
Figure 33: WiMAX evolution path towards TD-LTE
Figure 34: UQ strategy and roadmap for the introduction of WiMAX 2
Figure 35: China Mobile multi-mode multi-band requirement
1. Executive summary

2. Methodology

3. Deployment status of TD-LTE

4. The device ecosystem

5. TD-LTE technical evolution closely follows that of LTE FDD

6. Annexes




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