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World LTE markets - 5G initiatives & MBB spectrum

Dataset+Report - 20/12/2016 World LTE markets - 5G initiatives & MBB spectrum

Markets & Forecasts up to 2020
Markets - Players - Technologies - CapEx - Pricing

The bundle World LTE markets – 5G initiatives & MBB spectrum includes two deliverables dealing with both LTE and spectrum issues:

1. A database (updated half-yearly): quantitative & qualitative data for 46 countries, 6 zones & world consolidated - 76 LTE operator sheets are also available. It gathers information about spectrum issues, technologies, revenue & subscriber data & forecasts up to 2020. It presents the current status of the main mobile broadband frequency bands and results of auction processes including allocation modes, prices paid by each licensee, quantity of spectrum acquired by player, technology, price paid per MHz per PoP for 10 years and detailed information on the regulatory status.

2. A report (updated half-yearly) providing you with the state-of-the-art regarding LTE: overview of dynamics in LTE markets up to 2020 by geographical area and by technology. It also provides you with analyses of the worldwide LTE market status, LTE pricing, new services, technological issues, recent pieces of news on spectrum allocations, spectrum prices comparison, roaming, chipsets and devices.
With regards to spectrum, latest developments in the field are highlighted. Information include the main evolutions of the regulatory framework, spectrum sharing issues and new radio technologies, 5G developments, mobile spectrum in Western Europe, Eastern Europe, Asia Pacific, North and South America, and Africa Middle East, and spectrum valuation.


Reference Language Support Nbr of page Price  
M16315B2 ukExcel+PDF 5000 euros excl. VAT order
1. Executive summary
 1.1. Key Trends
 1.2. Main LTE markets
 1.3. Main LTE players
 1.4. Main radio spectrum trends, 2014-2016
 1.5. Recent spectrum auctions failed to raise targets
 1.6. Key network and technology trends 
 1.7. LTE pricing trends  
 1.8. 5G: 1.7 billion 5G subscribers anticipated in 2025

2. Methodology
 2.1. List of indicators by operator and country
 2.2. Methodology 

3. World LTE market
 3.1. Main LTE markets 
 3.2. Main LTE markets (December 2015 figures) 
 3.3. LTE worldwide market: Top Ten countries
 3.4. LTE worldwide market
 3.5. LTE deployment roadmap: No more European players in the top 10
 3.6. Outdoor LTE coverage
 3.7. LTE coverage
 3.8. LTE speeds   
 3.9.  LTE capex picked up in 2014-2015, efforts focused on last hard-to-reach % of outdoor coverage and started to consider indoor coverage
 3.10. LTE capex – Focus on NTT DOCOMO Xi/LTE capex and coverage
 3.11. LTE capex – Focus on the world largest LTE networkChina Mobile LTE capex and coverage
 3.12. LTE subscription forecasts by region
 3.13. LTE revenues forecasts by region

4. LTE Market in Europe 
 4.1. LTE European market
 4.2. European market – Main trends
 4.3. LTE subscription forecasts in Western Europe
 4.4. LTE subscription forecasts in Central and Eastern Europe

5. LTE Market in the Americas
 5.1. LTE American market  
 5.2. American market – Main trends  
 5.3. LTE subscription forecasts in North America 
 5.4. LTE subscription forecasts in Latin America  

6. LTE Market in Asia-Pacific
 6.1. LTE market in Asia-Pacific 
 6.2. Asia-Pacific market – Main trends  
 6.3. LTE subscription forecasts in Asia-Pacific

7. LTE Market in Middle East and Africa  
 7.1. LTE Middle East and African market
 7.2. Middle East and African market – Main trends 
 7.3. LTE subscription forecasts in Middle East and Africa

8. LTE spectrum   
 8.1. Main LTE frequency bands: FDD & TDD
 8.2. The 700 MHz band 
 8.3. 4G licences/spectrum price: 600, 800 MHz, 900 MHz, 1800 MHz, 2.1 GHz, AWS, PCS
 8.4. 4G licences/spectrum price in 700  MHz frequencies 
 8.5  4G spectrum in 700 MHz frequencies
 8.6. The 600 MHz broadcast spectrum auction burden in the USA
 8.7. 4G licences/spectrum price: 1800 MHz band  
 8.8. 4G licences/spectrum price: higher frequency bands  

9. Technology update: LTE-Advanced, VoLTE   
 9.1. Carrier aggregation usage continues to grow throughout the world  
 9.2. 3 carrier aggregation already being deployed, 4 CA on thestarting block
 9.3. The upcoming of LTE-Advanced Pro /4.5G  
 9.4. After repeated delays, Voice over LTE momentum is building
 9.5. VoLTE deployments and launches around the world are accelerating 
 9.6. WiFi calling deployments and launches around the worldare accelerating 
 9.7. TD-LTE is still a nascent but growing system  

10. LTE pricing 
 10.1. LTE pricing – LTE pricing strategies: tiered pricing versus “unlimited”  
 10.2. LTE pricing – Volume-based tiered pricing, the most common strategy
 10.3. LTE pricing: players continue to look for ways to monetize data  

11. 5G  
 11.1. Defining 5G performance requirements before standardizing
 11.2. Consensus around three main scenarios for 5G 
 11.3. Major initiatives are regional   
 11.4. 5G will be about harnessing all frequency ranges 
 11.5. Spectrum candidates for 5G  
 11.6. Planned worldwide 5G commercial launches 
 11.7. 5G forecasts
Figures

1. Executive summary

 Figure 1: Share of LTE subscriptions (Q4 2014- Q4 2015 - Q4 2016e)
 Figure 2: LTE subscription estimates and  forecasts (2012-2020)
 Figure 3: Share of LTE subscriptions (Q4 2017 – Q4 2020) 
 Figure 4: Number of LTE subscribers by player (million, end June 2016)  
 Figure 5: 5G subscibers forecasts 

3. World LTE market
 Figure 6: LTE subscription by region (Q4 2014 – Q4 2015) 
 Figure 7: Share of LTE subscriptions in three lead countries (2011-2020) 
 Figure 8: Breakdown of mobile customers by country and technology, end-2015  
 Figure 9: Download speeds in a selection of European countries 
 Figure 10: Domestic wireless capex (2011-2015)  
 Figure 11: Domestic LTE capex (2011-2016 budget)  
 Figure 12: NTT DOCOMO quarterly LTE capex (June 2012-Dec. 2015)
 Figure 13: Number of premium 4G base stations and LTE coverage 
 Figure 14: Domestic wireless capex and coverage    
 Figure 15: LTE capex  and LTE coverage 
 Figure 16: Number of 4G base stations and LTE coverage  
 Figure 17: LTE subscription estimates and forecasts by region, 2015-2020
 Figure 18: Share of total LTE subscriptions by region, 2015-2020  
 Figure 19: LTE revenue estimates & forecasts, 2015-2020  
 Figure 20: LTE revenue distribution by region in 2015 

4. LTE Market in Europe
 Figure 21: LTE subscriptions in Europe
 Figure 22: LTE subscription forecasts in Western Europe
 Figure 23: LTE subscription forecasts in Central and Eastern Europe

5. LTE Market in the Americas  
 Figure 24: LTE subscriptions in the Americas  
 Figure 25: LTE subscription forecasts in North America  
 Figure 26: LTE subscription forecasts in Latin America 

6. LTE Market in Asia-Pacific
 Figure 27: LTE subscriptions in Asia-Pacific
 Figure 28: LTE subscription forecast in Asia-Pacific 

7. LTE Market in Middle East and Africa
 Figure 29: LTE subscriptions in Middle East and Africa  
 Figure 30: LTE subscription forecast in Middle East and Africa  

8. LTE spectrum
 Figure 31: The APT band plan 
 Figure 32: Price of premium licences/spectrum per MHz per pop. (for 10 years) 
 Figure 33: Price of 700 MHz licences/spectrum per MHz per pop. (for 10 years)  
 Figure 34: Price of 1800 MHz licences/spectrum per MHz per pop. (for 10 years)  
 Figure 35: Price of 2.6 GHz licences/spectrum  per MHz per pop. (for 10 years)

9. Technology update: LTE-Advanced, VoLTE
 Figure 36: A la carte deployment enables quicker deployment of Rel 13 than initially expected in this roadmap from 2014
 Figure 37: Number of TD-LTE network launched by frequency bands  
 Figure 38: Number of TD-LTE devices by form factor  

10. LTE pricing
Figure 39: Average GB bundle size and average adjusted price/GB for LTEtariffs, by country and data allowance

11. 5G
Figure 40: Performance objectives for 5G and associated use cases
Figure 41: 5G roadmap   
Figure 42: LTE-U and LWA roadmaps  
Figure 43: ITU and 3GPP timeline for 5G   
Figure 44: Free space path loss depending on the frequency band   
Figure 45: Waveforms and frequency bands   
Figure 46: 5G subscribers forecasts    
Figure 47: 5G susbcribers by region in 2020 and 2025   

Tables

3. World LTE market    
 Table 1: Ranking of countries by number of LTE mobile subscribers and proportion of the total LTE user base, end-2015
 Table 2: Ranking of countries by number of LTE mobile subscribers  
 Table 3: LTE Worldwide Market : Top Ten countries 
 Table 4: LTE operators, Q4 2013, Q4 2014, Q4 2015 & Q2 2016
 Table 5: LTE coverage for the Top Ten countries  

4. LTE Market in Europe
 Table 6: LTE European market: Top 5 countries, at end 2014, end 2015 and mid-2016

5. LTE Market in the Americas
 Table 7: LTE American market: Top 5 countries, at Q2 2016  

6. LTE Market in Asia-Pacific
 Table 8: LTE Asian-Pacific market: Top 5 countries, at Q2 2016

7. LTE Market in Middle East and Africa
 Table 9: LTE Middle East and African market: Top 5 countries at Q2 2016

8. LTE spectrum
 Table 10: FDD bands worldwide 
 Table 11: TDD bands worldwide  
 Table 12: Status of the 700 MHz band   
 Table 13: 25 LTE700 #28 services available 

9. Technology update: LTE-Advanced, VoLTE   
 Table 14: 300 Mbps commercial deployments in 2016  
 Table 15: LTE-Advanced Pro commercial launch  
 Table 16: 2015-2016 VoLTE deployments  
 Table 17: WiFi Calling deployments   

11. 5G  
 Table 18: Announced 5G/pre 5G launches
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Operators

• Technology: LTE FDD, TD-LTE, LTE-Advanced, Mobile WiMAX, and version (such as  MIMO 4Χ2)
• Deployment: description of coverage plans or obligation
• Spectrum: quantity, frequency band, type (FDD, TDD)
• Technical Data and main vendors: core network providers (+IMS), Radio Access Network (RAN) providers, maximum data rates (UL/DL), average data rates (UL/DL), devices
• Outsourcing and sharing contracts
• Capex
• Services and tariffs: data package issues (such as monthly volume, associated data rates and restrictions), data M2M, voice
• Subscribers and ARPU (historical data)

Countries
• Background information: operators, LTE framework
• Regulation: spectrum auctions, refarming

Type of data
• Historical data 2010-2014
• Estimates for 2015
• Forecasts 2016-2020
The global market for telecom services has been divided into five main zones: Europe, North America, Latin America, Asia-Pacific and Middle East and Africa.
The countries below are detailed within each zone.

Asia-Pacific
• Australia*
• China*
• Hong Kong*
• India*
• Indonesia
• Japan*
• Malaysia
• New Zealand
• Philippines
• Singapore
• South Korea*
• Taiwan
• Uzbekistan
• Vietnam
• Rest of AP

Western Europe
• Austria
• Belgium*
• Denmark*
• Finland*
• France*
• Germany*
• Greece
• Ireland
• Italy*
• Luxembourg
• Netherlands*
• Norway*
• Portugal*
• Spain*
• Sweden*
• Switzerland*
• UK*
• Rest of WE

Central & Eastern Europe
• Czech Republic
• Hungary
• Poland
• Russia*
• Turkey*
• Rest of CEE

Latin America
• Argentina
• Brazil*
• Chile*
• Mexico
• Rest of Latam

North America
• Canada*
• USA*

Middle East-Africa
• Bahrain
• Morocco
• Saudi Arabia
• UAE
• Rest of MEA

*Country sheet for spectrum available
• 3 (Italy)
• 3 (Ireland)
• 3 (UK)
• A1 - Mobilkom (Austria)
• Aero2 (Poland)
• AT&T Mobility (USA)
• Base (Belgium)
• Belgacom (Belgium)
• Bell Mobility (Canada)
• Bharti Airtel (India)
• Bouygues Telecom (France)
• CenturyTel (USA)
• China Mobile (China)
• China Telecom (China)
• China Unicom (China)
• Chunghwa Telecom (Taiwan)
• Claro (Brazil)
• Cosmote (Greece)
• CSL (Hong Kong)
• Deutsche Telekom (Germany)
• Dish Network (USA)
• DNA (Finland)
• EE (UK)
• Elisa (Finland)
• E-Plus (Germany)
• H3G (Austria)
• H3G (Sweden)
• Iliad Free Mobile (France)
• KDDI (Japan)
• KPN (Netherlands)
• KT (South Korea)
• LG U+ (South Korea)
• Mobistar (Belgium)
• MobileOne (Singapore)
• MegaFon (Russia)
• MetroPCS (USA)
• MTS (Russia)
• Net4mobility/Tele2 (Sweden)
• NTT DOCOMO (Japan)
• O2 Telefonica (Germany)
• O2 Telefonica (UK)
• Optus (Australia)
• Orange (France)
• Orange (Spain)
• PCCW (Hong Kong)
• Rogers Wireless (Canada)
• SFR (France)
• Singtel (Singapore)
• SK Telecom (South Korea)
• Smartone Vodafone (HK)
• Softbank Mobile (Japan)
• Sprint Nextel (USA)
• Swisscom (Switzerland)
• Tango (Luxembourg)
• Telcel (Mexico)
• Spark New-Zealand (New-Zealand)
• Telefonica Moviles (Spain)
• Telenor Mobile (Norway)
• Telenor Mobile (Sweden)
• TeliaSonera (Finland)
• TeliaSonera (Norway)
• TeliaSonera (Sweden)
• Telstra (Australia)
• Telus (Canada)
• TIM (Italy)
• TMN (Portugal)
• T-Mobile (Austria)
• T-Mobile (USA)
• US Cellular (USA)
• Verizon Wireless (USA)
• VimpelCom (Russia)
• Vivo (Brazil)
• Vodafone (Germany)
• Vodafone (Greece)
• Vodafone (Italy)
• Vodafone (Spain)
• Vodafone (UK)
• Wind (Italy)
• Xfera-Yoigo (Spain)
• Y!Mobile (Japan)
• Yota (Russia)
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